Tuesday, 1 May 2018

Zero Work Theory-I



Introduction
The basic idea of Zero Work Theory (ZWT) originally embarked under a long title: “An ALTERNATIVE to Marxian Scientific Socialism – The Theory Reduction in Working Hours - A Demand 6 Hour Working Day”. The Book published in the year 1981. I consider it as the early segment of ZWT. 

The main objective of the theory was to present an “Alternative to Marxian Socialism or Communism”. It proclaims that the world working class movement need a new working class theory because Marxism as a whole utterly failed to understand them, since it completely ignores THE FOUR FUNDAMENTAL ASPECTS OF LABOR EXPLOITATION on the working population as a whole, which wreak havoc in their everyday life, Marxism could not foresee the rapid development of science and technologies of the future especially the exponential growth in the field of Artificial Intelligent (AI) ROBOT, automation going to replace most human labor. Therefore, Marxism could not anticipate the future development of its own favourite  productive forces, labour productivity could make his beloved working class, human labor completely USELESS, redundant or obsolete in the social production of goods and services  within a couple of centuries.
                             
Having the opportunity to access this historical perspective of the future in the 1980’s, I envisioned that the historical mission of the  laboring class" is to gradually reduce the working hours in the day step by step, when it finally reduced to zero, there will be no more need of human wage-labor in the social production therefore, the society will need to establish a new kind of income distribution economic system. That is why my theory at this point today professes that every citizen of the world must receive a Guaranteed, Adequate Universal Basic Income  in order to lead a healthy, comfortable, secure life. Thereby, the historic compulsion on the humankind to labor in order to  meet their basic needs, in the form of wages, salary will be completely eliminated. My revised name for this theory is "Zero Work Theory" (ZWT).

Zero Work Theory Advocate Abolition of Wage (paid) Labor
The ZWT declares that, “The basic relationship of workers to their LABOR” comes from the COMPULSION" in order to obtain their “means of subsistence”, in the form of food, shelter, clothing, health, security, education and basic comforts. Humans MUST work; it is not a choice but a necessity. The need to work originally imposes by nature on humans, which resulted in allowing a strong minority of the population to exploit (oppress, subjugate etc.) the weaker majority to work for them for various reasons, mainly the private property. It enables the minority to obtain a portion of the products or “value” of the majority’s labor to accumulate wealth and become rich. This is the root-cause of inequality, poverty, injustice, crimes and corruption in the present society. Therefore the ZWT claims; as the technology progress, labor productivity rises and the NEED for labor decreases, the society as a whole should engage in a step-by-step reduction in work hours to continually re-balance the labor value distribution to prevent the widening the income gap between the “haves” and the “have-nots”.  It should finally end into the Zero Working Day, providing the REAL FREEDOM, LIBERATING the majority of the population, if not the entire human race from its historical compulsion, adversity; the drudgery of the Wage- Labor servitude. It is the complete elimination of the last remnant of historical human labor bondage a form of human SLAVERY, thereby, to establish a truly Democratic, humanitarian and equitable socio-economic political system.


Labor is a COMPULSION: Workers Not Really Free to Make A choice of Not To Work
It is true that the workers are made free to do labor but they are not “really” free, NOT TO DO IT. Otherwise, they will be deprived of their basic income. Without the basic income one can’t afford their needs, wants, decent food, clothing, shelter, health, education and other basic comforts in life. They will be forced to undergo immense suffering, starvation, homelessness, left to die or reduced to BEGGING. One may call it as a “free choice” but I consider it as the most degrading kind of labor (job, profession?) next to prostitution (no offence intended), which existed since the dawn of human species. Therefore, like the human labor, if the prostitution and begging forced genuinely by their economic conditions, it can be completely eliminated with an Adequate UNCONDITIONAL Basic Income Guaranty, popularly known as the Universal Basic Income (UBI) which I see as the early manifestation of the ZWT.


Fundamental difference between the ZWT "Wage-Labor Exploitation" and Marxian “Working Class Exploitation”
According to the ZWT, throughout the human history, till the present day, humankind has undergone four basic kinds of labor exploitation. 1. Subsistence Sustenance Exploitation  2. Relative Labor Exploitation 3. Productive Labor Exploitation  4. Absolute Labor Exploitation (the book explains, each of it in details). These exploitations are, primarily responsible for most of the social inequality, injustice, poverty, repression corruption which exists both in the capitalist and the socialist systems in the world today. The concept of "Labor Exploitation" in Zero Work Theory is fundamentally different from Marxian Socialist concept of ruling (capitalist) class exploitation of working class, founded on the “Private Means of Production”.

Marxism claims that LABOR-EXPLOITATION exists mainly due to the social "class" system, which results in the constant "class struggle" between the minority ruling "capitalist class", owning the means of production and the majority working class which doesn’t. It classifies the  human history so far, into three main social systems: 1.Slavery, 2.Feudalism, 3.Capitalism; in all these three systems the “property owning” minority rich class primarily exists/survives/dwells on the labor exploitation of the poor majority class. Therefore, Marxism claims that the private ownership of wealth or property is the fundamental reason of the exploitation on the working class, which is responsible for all kinds of social evils like injustice, inequality, poverty, repression, corruption, crimes, prevailing in the human society. Therefore, it proclaims that there is a 4th system namely the Socialist or Communist system which will completely eliminate the labor exploitation mainly by the ABOLITION of the private ownership of the means of production, commonly known as the Private Property.

Marxist fundamentally claim that the human society will have social, economic and political equality if it abolishes the “private ownership of means of production”, which in turn will abolish labor exploitation of the working class, thereby ushering in a "classless" communist society. But today, all of these theories have been proven completely wrong. Another Marxian basic concept, which claims that only human labor can creates value and wealth in society also turning to be absolutely wrong, most importantly because the rapid progress in the Artificial intelligence (AI) robotics and automation making the human labor no more as valuable or redundant.  One of Marx's most famous quotes is, "From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs." This envisages that under the communism people need to labor according to your capacity, and then society provides everyone with everything they will need. It is like the science fiction movies we see today, where all of the humans in the future still engaged in labor, despite the high tech world they live in.

ZWT agrees with the Marxist theory to the extent of saying that the capitalist basically exploit the labor of workers in the form of Relative Labor Exploitation.  Nevertheless, it thoroughly denounces Marxism for failing to recognize the rest of the labor exploitation, which makes it unable to address the issue of on-going other real labor exploitations (mentioned above) that also includes self-employed underemployed and unemployed. Moreover, ZWT does not accept that the abolition of “private property" will end any of the Labor Exploitation in the society. Irrespective of whoever runs/manages the means of production (factories, industries, companies, business, corporation etc.) as long as the compulsion of labor exist for workers to earn their livelihood, the entire chain of labor exploitation will continue. Only the overall reduction in working hours will reduce labor exploitation and will completely end it when it finally reaches the Zero Work with the support of an adequate Universal Basic Income.


Historical Materialism: ZWT view on the Artificial Intelligence (AI) ROBOTS
Robots are basically the DESCENDANTS of the tools used by primitive humans as an extension of their body parts to perform functions, which increase the productivity of their labor. Humans now have achieved such a high degree of technological sophistication that the AI robots can (or soon will) SUBSTITUTE nearly any physical function of the human body, including the intelligent function of the BRAIN

As per the ZWT, in the early human historical developmental stages, the primitive man made tools stones, sticks vines, bones etc., which substituted many functions of human body, was an extension of their hands, legs, body, to improve their laboring capacity. The second stage was centred around the industrial revolution of the 18th century. Human/animal MUSCLE POWER was replaced by steam engines and later by the gigantic electric motor power. These machine tools, seen in the power looms in those early days, tremendously increased labor productivity, which  started the era of mass production thereby mass consumption but  always needed the human brain cognitive ability in the loop to make them to perform the work.  

By the second half of the 20th century, ushered the third and final stage of  human labor replacement. The beginning of Artificial Intelligence (AI).  Integrated-circuits, silicon microchip, Cybernetic Revolution. The calculators, software programmed computers and the sophisticated AI machine/deep learning robot automation. It can replace most of the functions of human brain cognitive power called “intelligence”. These sophisticated humanoid robots in the future can do most of the jobs that humans perform, making most of the human wage-labor completely redundant.

Now in the 21st century today, the new autonomous AI machines, incorporated with DEEP/MACHINE-LEARNING (self-programming software, algorithms of various types), in combination with web-based cloud sharing, can already do things that are beyond any human capacity and with every generation of software will become faster and better, superior to human intelligence in many significant ways. The emerging QUANTUM computers can bring in new paradigm shift in the field, in the very near future; say in 10 to 20 years, it will completely replace the needs of the intelligent human labor brain functions in the service sector like it happened previously in the manufacturing agricultural and the manufacturing sector. Even the professional jobs like doctors, lawyers even judges can be efficiently replaced by the AI robots. In one word, the AI robots will completely remove the necessity of human labor in the future production of goods and services. Therefore, a gradual reduction or even a complete end to working hours (zero work) with the empowering UBI entitlement will become a necessity for human society. This is the historical perspective of the Zero Work Theory, in contrast to Marxist Historical Materialism, which I described earlier.


The Readers Response to My Book when it Published in 1981.
Except for one or two positive book reviews in the popular Kannada News Papers in 1981 (which still remain popular today), there was not much response. I think my book failed to get the "response" it needed, to become a book that made political changes, because of my situation of that time.


Reasons for The failure of Reduction in Working Hour  (RWH) Theory to get the Response It Needed
Imagine some unknown young guy with no academic background or any credentials, proposing this theory of step by step reduction in the working hours ending in Zero Work in 1981; as an alternative to Marxian Socialism. No one will believe it would be possible; which continues even today for many people. No sensible publisher at that time would even look at it. It had to be self-published by my small workers group. We tried to distribute it to well-known academics, but outside our group no one was interested. With hindsight, I see that I was the wrong person to deliver this message, I was underprivileged and disadvantaged, (a description that still applies). I wanted to achieve an impossible task, exposing a fundamental flaw in Marxism, a philosophy followed by hundreds of millions of people and for a century. No matter what I did, I would never convince the world socialist/communist leadership (who, in India, are leaders of most organized workers) to abandon their socialist revolution ideology for my reduction in working hours demand. If no one would listen to me, I had to wait for history to prove which theory was right.

Since 1980’s, the working hours of the working class not reduced significantly as it should be as per the ZWT, as a consequence, the overall “value of the labor power” has decreased. The technological progress has wiped out the large portion of industrial manufacturing jobs, shifting the large portion of employment into the service sector jobs. This has declined  the strength of the working class nearly to a collapsing point. On the other hand, the  strength of Capitalist or “ruling” class had grown many folds. Paradoxically, Instead of the working class demanding a reduction in working hours, the ruling class has begun to offer a reduction in working hours. The corporate giant of the “Silicon-Valley”, have even begun to promote the idea of UBI, An Unconditional Guaranteed Income will allow large number of laboring individuals to quit or withdraw from wage labor, resulting in overall Reduction In Working Hours in the society. I see this as an  early manifestation of   the Zero Work Theory (ZWT) which is the contemporary version of my revised Reduction in Working Hour Theory (RWHT). Today I am more confident that history will prove that RWHT is right than ever before. I warned about the rising threat of progressing technology, driving unemployment and proposed a scientific solution, the gradual Work Reduction  towards Zero Working Hours in 1981.  However, pundits in the field even today have not yet recognized or very reluctant to accept this important historical message of ZWT.

In 1980 the "working class" meant industrial jobs, manufacturing, and factory jobs. These jobs have dwindled away around the world rapidly since, even in late developing countries like India. As working class jobs in the manufacturing shrink down. Office and professional jobs are seriously threatened by the AI automation, the service sector workers in constant fear of following the same dwindling away job loss process. Against the wishes of the Marx and all his predecessors, almost all of the Communist/Socialist countries in principle are gone. All capitalists nations did not become socialist, and no socialist country evolved into a Utopian paradise. Socialist went back to become capitalist but no socialist theory said, "we will become socialist, then go back to capitalism, then become socialist again, and THEN become a Utopia". Today we can safely say that history has spoken, and we can forget about traditional idea of Socialism.


ZWT written in 1981 in India. What is the relevance of it to the rest of the world today?
ZWT is more relevant to the world today than ever before! It applies primarily to industrially developed nations, rather than developing countries like India, but as any nation develops the theory has a greater impact. My writing definitely applies to the United States, the world's leading industrial superpower as the ZWT model. The majority of economists say that China will soon be the world's #1 economy. China and a few smaller nations were very late to develop (much of Africa has still to develop) and their Industrial base is still growing. ZWT predicts that as China develops, they will follow the same pattern of massive industrial unemployment, followed a few years later by growth and then decline in white-collar work. China will seek relief through some form of UBI, as will India. The World Business as well political leader, future experts talking about the UBI. In the US emerging new political aspirations have started sponsoring the idea of  some kind of "basic income"  or UBI.

I don't expect the academics to read my theory or mention me or the theory by name but I do see them expressing their concerns of the progressing technological impending impact and the solutions, that I spoke back in 1981. Nations need to realize that "Technological Unemployment", created by the AI deep-learning robots, will make human labor redundant prompting Zero Work Society. Therefore, the need of the human wage-labor in the society can be completely done away with requiring the implementation of an adequate Universal Basic Income (UBI).


Does this theory apply just to the rich, or equally to the poor countries? How would it be applied in India vs. America?
Even though India is still a developing country it will quickly follow the world, particularly the US. The IT and Knowledge Industry in India will be impacted the first. I am not sure to what extent we will see the entry of self-driving vehicles on Indian roads or Wal-Mart robots in our supermarkets in the next 5 to 10 years. However, the most important thing to know is that developing countries like India, seeking a place in today's Globalized world, will be HELPLESS to do anything other than following the technological trends in industrialized nations.


If robots take over all work, what happens to today's jobs in the ZWT?
Past industrial revolutions created far more jobs than they replaced. The intelligent robot revolution will be different, wiping out all jobs performed by humans today. This is the first time that there is a potential for NO net job creation. These robots are capable performing not just existing jobs, but new jobs that are created by technology changes. Robots are always more efficient and cost less than human alternatives. Every year, the best robot gets better. The best human, the absolute best in the world at doing a job, doesn't get better but does want to be paid more. Don't we all expect to get a raise, especially as we become experienced and perform better? Robots get cheaper as they improve. The robot revolution will create new jobs, such as robot service technician. But new jobs can be taken over by robots, just like old jobs were.

When most human labor becomes redundant, and there are far more people than work, the majority of people will have no employment. However, humans will still fill some jobs, those that robots are not yet ready or not allowed to do. This could be less than 50% of the jobs today. If there are only 30 jobs for 100 workers, no amount of effort or perseverance on the part of workers will result in more than 30% employment. The 70% unemployed can start their own business but a few may have the skills to run a restaurant, make jewellery, write a book (that sells), or even invent something. In America today, 90% of new businesses fail in a good economy. Self-employment and small businesses might add 5% to 10% jobs at best. For everyone else, the vast majority, we need an adequate Universal Basic Income (UBI).

However, some people will demand a job. They may have critical skills, such as doctors and scientists, that strongly benefit society should be kept employed. Other individuals will outright reject a government stipend. To address these social issues, we need to reduce the number of hours in a typical working week. The reduction in the work week to 30 or fewer hours is probably a good starting place. For every nation, their formula for an UBI and for a reduced work week will vary and may change over time. It is for the people of every nation to DEMOCRATICALLY decide these details. Finally the ZWT envisages that all human work in the productions of social goods and services needs to become completely voluntary no more wages or economic incentive will be paid for human work .


What needs to happen to implement the ZWT and when? Who needs to take action?
My present position is that rapid AI robot automation will cause massive job losses and massive ‘Technological Unemployment’ problems. Public opinion, mass demonstrations, social media and finally the electorate will compel Governments to implement "Universal Basic Income" (UBI) or something of that sort, more so in the industrially developed countries. It fundamentally differs from classical Capitalist poverty alleviation welfare or unemployment benefit programs. UBI will be entirely new kind of Income distribution socio-economic system, it will provide an "escape valve" for people who cannot find a job and do not want to work anymore. My interpretation of the UBI today is that it is an early manifestation of ZWT, a visible sign of economy adjusting to lessening of the overall Working Hours in the human society.


UBI Is Most Essential Part of the Zero Work Theory
A Universal Basic Income or whatever may be the name will provide an alternative to a socially destructive level of technological unemployment. Realistically, when most jobs go away, they won't go away evenly. Robots will quickly replace clerks and truck drivers, but heart surgeons will take longer. America already has tens of millions of adults who do not work, for one reason or another. If everyone was not financially required to work, parents would spend more time raising their children or taking care of their elderly parents. That's what adults want to do, that what their children want, and it's what THEIR parents want. It is also what governments say are good family values and they want.

The Cost of  UBI
Many say the cost of UBI will be a tremendous burden on the Government that may not able to sustain in the present budget conditions. Others disagree. There are many ways that the Government can overcome the burden. It can be difficult but what is the alternative? Governments are just beginning to realize the extent of the disruption that will be caused by robots. Will America outlaw technology? Can that be done if China and other countries continue to use technology to dominate the global economy? We have seen in the global financial collapse when unemployment reaches  to 8-10%. Just imagine how difficult it will be for governments to deal with robotic unemployment of 50% or more? Will they offer training programs for jobs that do not exist, or are about to be replaced by robots? What is the alternative to a UBI that offers any dignity to the millions who cannot ever re-enter the job market? For a dislocation in the job market this big, it takes a solution that is equally big. To survive the AI Deep-Learning robot revolution we need the UBI to reduce the total number of workers in the labor force, and then we need to share the remaining work through a reduced-hour work week.

The historic progress of science and technology has created smart machines... robots and artificial intelligence. Deep learning is a technology with the capability to understand and duplicate human labor functions, and then instruct robots how to independently produce goods and services in abundance. Little if any human wage-labor will be needed. In the past, asking to be paid without working for the money was considered lazy, or greedy, or dysfunctional. In the age of the robot, instead of compelling everyone to have a job, people who are not willing or capable of performing jobs should be allowed to withdraw from the job market through the UBI and reduce the unemployment level. They can be free to do whatever they like. Millennial might like it the most!


ZWT Proposal to Finance the UBI
Many proponents of Universal Basic Income suggest that the UBI can get enough funds by replacing or cancelling the existing Govt. Entitlement, Welfare Programs. However, the cancellation of these programs will mostly affect the poor, weak and the underprivileged. It will face strong resistance, protest from many quarters of society including the interest lobby groups like pensioners, women, etc., making it a highly sensitive issue in the mainstream media, some of it can be very genuine.  Providing a meagre amount in the name of UBI with the cancellation of the popular Govt. welfare programs would be unethical and unacceptable. Therefore, let explore some new avenues, alternatives to finance an Adequate UBI.

Zero Work Theory which considers UBI as the part and partial of its overall program has a very important proposal to fund the UBI. There should be a Universal or Uniform Income Tax (UIT) to fund the UBI.  Under which the Government should implement a flat rate (Uniform) Income Tax on every income earning that the people make or receive. More of it explained in my blog: ZWT Proposal: Uniform Income Tax To Fund UBI” : http://anticorruptionfight.blogspot.in/2017/08/zwt-proposal-uniform-income-tax-to-fund.html

End of Part-I ZWT; see the Part-II Zero Work Theory in the following post:  (http://anticorruptionfight.blogspot.in/2017/04/)

Original Theory Book Published in 1981. Upgrade ZWT version 2016.- Latest  201-02-2018 © Valerian Texeira


Tuesday, 24 April 2018

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE: WORLDS NEW WORKING CLASS


The greatest historical impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on the human society that all those experts don’t talk, perhaps don’t even dare to imagine is;  A.I. robots will become the world’s new WORKING CLASS. It will liberate the humankind from the compulsion of work to survive. This will free the masses from the drudgery, slavery, servitude  of the human labor. It will allow the masses to unite and fully participate in the democratic process of political decision making, leading them to REJECT  the profit based Capitalist economy founded on the human labor exploitation  full of corruption and injustice. Instead to establish  a new democratic economic system based on equitable income distribution. The benefits of the technological progress needs to be equally shared by all members of the society in the future  egalitarian human society. 

This can happen before the turn of this century, if not sooner. The Guaranteed/Universals Basic Income can mark the beginning of this people’s movement. Karl Marx (1818-1881) will have his
 laugh from the grave, at last.

Tuesday, 17 April 2018

Artificial Intelligence: ZWT Perspective



People looking into the future world developments today deeply  concerned about the rapid progress in the Artificial Intelligent (AI) technology resulting in massive job loss, apart from its ethical and other problems. The AI and other experts enthusiastically provide hundreds of solution specially to mitigate the “technological unemployment”. They show the promise of new technologies creating new jobs as it happened in the history before. However, what they very much lack indeed is, a clear historical perspective, scientific vision and an open minded futuristic approach understand this issue. THE EXPONENTIAL GROWTH IN THE A.I. TECHNOLOGY WILL RENDER THE HUMAN LABOR OBSOLETE, SOONER THAN LATER.

In my opinion, the rapid progress in the AI ROBOT automation provides the great historical opportunity that the humankind has been waiting since the beginning.  To liberate themselves from the  drudgery of human labor. The SERVITUDE, enslavement, humiliation that the  majority of the population compelled to undergo by the minority in order to earn their living i.e. wages, salaries or income. Now, with the progress in the AI technology  we can  gradually get rid and finally  abolish the human labor for wage system and replace it with an equitable income sharing system. It can begin with the  “unconditional” guaranteed income system one may call it the Universal Basic Income or the UBI.

My book titled “An Alternative to Marxian Scientific Socialism: The Theory Reduction in Working Hours (RWH); ….” Published in the year 1981. More of its details in the  links bit.ly/2mGAUWg  , http://bit.ly/2eARyEx http://bit.ly/2nR4MAP

The gist of the theory is; “Labor” or work is the compulsion on humans (originally imposed by nature) to obtain their means of subsistence. The "human labor relation" is the ROOT-CAUSE OF EXPLOITATION on man by man. It results it all kinds of subjugation, injustice, inequality and corruption in the hitherto human society.

According to the RWH Theory, the AI ROBOTS are the embodiment of the mankind’s million years of historical struggle, technological endeavor, and dream to overcome their labor/work for SURVIVAL. Now it had culminated into complete replacement of the human labor, jobs or employment.

Its first stage began with the early humans primitive tools used as the replacement of their body, limbs in their day to day work for survival. It reached  many levels of mechanical development and sophistication  continued for hundreds and thousands years of ancient to medieval history. The second stage began at around 18th century with the advent of steam engines electrical motors merging with the machine tools popularly known as the Industrial Revolution . It most importantly replaced the human muscle power in the human labor equation with the unimaginable inanimate energy force unparalleled in the history. These machine tool although  able to do the hard labor of hundreds of thousands of workers  nevertheless always needed the humans intelligent brain cognitive power to perform, conduct the given work or duty.

The third and final stage began with the advent of Semiconductors or the microchip revolution. The Exponential growth of the microprocessors started the era known as the Artificial Intelligence. The 21st century AI robots automation started rapidly replacing humans (biological) intelligence with its human brain like neurological machine deep learning algorithms. AI today is getting far more superior to the humans biological brain in the performance of all human work. Its cognitive learning ability can supersede any intelligent human brain enabling the robots to render every “paid” human labor completely redundant or obsolete.

Now, the only way to progress towards the mankind’s destiny is; A Gradual Reduction in Working Hours aiming towards the complete abolition of the Wage labor i.e. jobs. However, considering the failure or stagnation of the reduction of working hour movement in the last decades and the present worlds rapid AI exponential technological progress and disruption, I realize that a guaranteed Basic Income or the Equitable Universal Basic Income fulfills the final objectives of the  RWHT.  

Nevertheless, my views on the UBI not the same  as many of the UBI proponent, who see it  as  mainly as an incentive to the poor workers to work more productively with the additional income and to supplement to their wages. I argue UBI needs to act as a complete replacement  to the wage-labor.  “UBI  SHOULD ALLOW THE PEOPLE TO BECOME ECONOMICALLY INDEPENDENT,  TOTALLY FREE FROM THE DRUDGERY OF WORK, OUT OF THE SERVITUDE,HUMILIATION
OF WAGE-LABOR IF THEY WANT. This will also encourage a substantial portion of the laboring population to quit their jobs, which will positively result in the increase in the employment, wages thereby further rapid AI automation in the entire industry.  The recommendation of an adequate amount of UBI  without having the compulsion of wage-labor, mean ZERO WORK  for those who would opt for it, which is final GOAL of the RWH Theory. So now I prefer the name it “Zero Work Theory” (ZWT). I have explained more about this theory in my blog.

The principle behind the ZWT is that the fruits of the progress in the  science and technological in the human society  should not be appropriated or accumulated by only  a few  but it is their historical responsibility and every people concerned, to see to it that the benefit should be equally shared among all members of the society. This is the inevitable future that the elite class should understand whether they like it or not.

Thursday, 24 August 2017

ZWT Proposal: Uniform Income Tax To Fund UBI

Many proponents of Universal Basic Income (UBI) suggest that this program can get enough finance by partially replacing or completely cancelling the existing Govt. Welfare Programs. However the complete cancellation of the welfare programs which will mostly affect the poor, and underprivileged will face strong resistance, protest from many quarters of society including the interest lobby groups like pensioners, women, etc., making it a hyper sensitive issue in the mainstream media. Hence, the complete cancellation of the popular Govt. welfare programs in order to fund the UBI program will become almost impossible. Therefore, let us give up the idea of withdrawing the welfare programs for financing UBI for the time being and explore some new avenues to finance it.

Zero Work Theory which also considers UBI as the part and partial of its overall program has a very important proposal to fund the UBI. It argues; "there should be an Universal or Uniform Income Tax (UIT) to fund the UBI". The Government should implement a flat rate (Uniform) Income Tax on every income earning that the people make or receive.

The UIT needs to be perhaps up to 30% to get enough funds to make the UBI an adequate amount. The total amount of UIT collected should be “equally” divided among all its people. In this UIT system, the poor who earn less than the UBI amount will gain much more than what they pay in the form of UIT, even though, the tax percentage that people pay should be equal for all, irrespective of rich or poor in line with the main principle of UBI.

Let me demonstrate it by giving an example in a very simplistic form. Suppose an average person in a country needs $4600 a month to maintain an adequate standard of living. To make it work, everyone who receives UBI needs to pay a “flat rate” income tax of 30% on every income earnings they make.

Suppose in a given country the average poor earns a total of $2000 a month, middle class $20,000 a month and the average rich earns 50,000 a month from all quarters of their income earning.

Now start to calculate. The total income of the average poor person (including UBI) before the Tax reduction will rise up to (2000+4600=) $6600, after deducting 30% UIT amount of $1980 from the total sum he/she will be receiving (6,600-1980=) $4620, which is $20 more than the UBI amount but overall a net gain of $2620 for these low paid workers.

In the case of middle income person, the total amount (including UBI) of income he earns before the Tax reduction, comes to (20,000+4600=) $24,600. After deducting 30% UIT amount of $6380 from the total sum he/she will be receiving (24,600-6,380=) $18,220, which means a $1780 loss from his net income.

In the case of rich or upper income person, the total amount (including UBI) of income he earns before the Tax reduction, comes to 50,000+4600=$54,600. After deducting 30% UIT amount of $18,380 from the total sum he/she will be receiving (54,600-18380=) $43,620 which means a $6380 loss from his net income.

However, the person who do not work for whatever reasons and receive absolutely no income from other source except the UBI also has to pay 30%  UTI out of it, which means he receives (4,600-1380)  = $3,320 as the net UBI amount. This will encourage the unemployed to seek work. It will also contribute considerably by recycling 30% of the UTI back to the national UBI fund.

UBI should be Universal in its entirety, in the sense everyone is entitled to receive it as their fundamental human right. Limiting it only to the adults will grossly victimize the children of the poor. A well to do parent can fully afford to look after the need of their children, which is not in the case of the poor who need it the most. Therefore, UBI should start right from the moment the child is born and shall continue until the person’s death.

All this will allow the Govt. to gradually withdraw and cancel the welfare programs which it finds not necessary, since it will have less or no resistance from the sections of society which I mentioned in the beginning.


Of course, this UIT will face fierce resistance from some higher income earning groups especially from the rich lobby which I believe not as difficult for the Govt. to overcome. Indeed, this UIT economic measure is necessary in today’s rapid progress in the technological sector specially in the field Artificial Intelligence (robots) automation leading into widening the income gap between the rich and the poor thus extreme income disparity. The UBI aided by the UIT will help to reduce this extreme economic polarity and gradually lead the world towards a more equal egalitarian and humanitarian society. 

I would very much like the readers comment on this blog.


Copyright 2017 Valerian Texeira.

Monday, 8 May 2017

Zero Work Theory: GLANCE Into The Future

ZWT: Artificial Intelligence Ethics Principle Law
On Top  of Isasc Asimove's Three Laws of Robotics

1. Humans created the  Artificial Intelligence (AI) machines to serve their interests, therefore, the AI must FIRST serve the interest of the Humanity above all.

2. A robot or the AI may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm except where such orders would conflict with the First Principle Law.

3. A robot or the AI must obey orders given it by human beings except where such orders would conflict with the Second Law.


4. A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the Thierd Law.


*******************

ZWT Propose Equiviatable UBI:
FUNDED BY  EQUAL INCOME TAX ON ALL



Universal Basic Income (UBI) is a hotly discussed subject among the experts, especially those concerned with the  with the impact of the IA technology  that will disrupt the entire economy and may replace hundreds of millions of human jobs known as the Technological Unemployment

Many industrial business leaders and concerned people suggest that the Govt. implementation of the UBI is the solution to overcome this problem. But the main obstacle to this proposal is that it will put heavy financial burden to the  economy  that the present system will not be able to bear. Many suggest that replacement of the many prevailing Govt. l Welfare programs can raise enough funds however the opposition for the cancellation of the welfare programs from the interest lobby group may make it difficult.  Therefor a significant amount of taxation perhaps the only remaining option for the Govt. Govt. to act.

Taxing the robot is one of the solutions. But how do you define a robot, also it will discriminate any industry or product device that is called robots. There for  ZWT  suggest  Equitable UBI,  should be funded by an equally  equitable Univerasal Income Tax on all, irrespective of rich or poor. Our suggestion is a flat rate of around 30% on every one that includes people who receive UBI.

Thursday, 6 April 2017

ZWT-II: Future Human Occupations

The Unprecedented Technological Growth
The unprecedented growth in the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Robots, has become the most important topic in the global economic forums, business circles. Prominent business forecast agencies, research analyst predict major technology disruption, most jobs that exists today will disappear in the next decades. The HR work force  specialist maintain even though much of the jobs will be displace in the coming decades   there will be many more or enough new jobs will be created to replace the old ones. However, no one quite sure, which sectors will create enough  new jobs, to keep the unemployment rate at around the present acceptable level. The science and technology progressing in leaf and bound called as exponential growth.


Autonomous self-driving cars/vehicles licensed on the streets by the Government, seems to be the torch bearer signalling the paradigm shift of AI now transcending into the SERVICE SECTOR. Transportation industry heralding this transformation.  Even though, the AI entered into the services sector  like warehouses, retail and sales  market before the autonomous cars did, nevertheless the driverless cars on the streets mostly catches the public attention. Intelligent Chabot’s entering people’s homes in larger numbers. The Amazon warehouses, online stores, supermarket giants Wal-Mart, McDonalds employing robots in their outlets which can replace cashiers salesperson, manager positions. Industries, businesses all over the world especially in China’s shedding human jobs alarmingly in large numbers. Most importantly the highly paid cognitive human intelligent jobs like doctor, lawyer, accountants teachers  are equally have become fertile ground of AI automation.  IoT’s, Chabot, Sophia, Sexbots, Humanoid robots becoming reality. The technologically progressive minded companies today pride themselves primarily called as the AI companies and propose Universal Basic Income to alleviate any public fear about the future massive Technological Unemployment


Technological Unemployment 2020. 
When we talk about the Technological Unemployment  we mainly think about the AI robot automation but other science and technological fields like Bio-Tech  and Nano tech may eliminate far larger number of jobs. For example the lab grown cell cultured or plant based alternative meat products bio-tech start-up who like to call themselves as Clean Meat companies have stated to entering the traditional meat and dairy industry estimated to having US$50 trillion worth globally. The first beef burger created in 2013 was cost $375,000, Now, the price has dropped drastically to $30 per pound. The prices expected to go down around  $3  by the year 2025 or earlier. The traditional farm produce industry employs hundreds of million workers and most of these jobs are at risk of closing. The lab cell cultured biotech food is not limited only to meat but also can be extend into milk, egg, nuts, fruits and vegetables. Therefore,  the impact of biotech in human job elimination  perhaps far greater than the once could have imagined.

Experts claim that the AI will create enough or more jobs as it happened in the history before.  Their basic argument is that the progress in the technology always created new jobs as proven by the Industrial Revolution. However, they miss a crucial point. There always been ONLY three major Job sectors since human civilization, Agriculture, Manufacturing and the Service sector. Agriculture occupied greatest portion of the labor market, Manufacturing and Service occupied very less for hundreds thousands of years. The industrial revolution of the 18th century changed everything, on its way, it gradually eliminated the need of most of the human labor in the Agricultural Sector but  did not create any new Job sector, It only shifted most of its jobs into manufacturing sector  also stimulating the growth of the service sector. As the  industrial revolution reached its advanced stage around 20th century it pushed most of the jobs both from agriculture and manufacturing sector transferring all of it into the  Service sector.

Further down 21st century today, the rapidly advancing AI revolution  now, have started flushing out  the human jobs from its last remaining resort called Service sectors. There will be no new employment sector for the humans jobs to go.  The Zero Work Theory (ZWT) predicts that 2020 can become marked as the year of INFLECTION of various science and technology including the Quantum computing and 5G. All these can make the TIPPING POINT in the unemployment figures, after which  human society will start witnessing  severe impact of the exponential AI Technological growth, the unemployment will start to rise from its present 4 to 5 per cent,  initially it may be in single digits, but as we enter the third decade, the unemployment percentage may rise dramatically even up to 50%, worldwide.


HUMAN LABOR  WILL SOON BECOM REDUNDANT
The likelihood of losing tens of MILLIONS of jobs to AI automation around the world in the coming decades is real, believe it or not. The ZWT proclaims that if we are to cope with this future Technological Unemployment, we need new kinds of occupations for those people, or a completely new perspective of human purpose in life. THE HUMAN LABOR LIKELY TO BECOME REDUNDANT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. Instead of a dystopian Sci-fi vision of chaos and destruction, we need to look forward optimistically to a society of affluence and abundance  of goods and services WITHOUT THE NEED OF HUMAN LABOR to produce them . UNFORTUNATELY HOWEVER, WHEN THE ZERO WORK THEORY (ZWT) WAS ORIGINALLY PUBLISHED IT IN 1981, EXPERTS AT THAT TIME, DISMISSED IT WITHOUT A SECOND GLANCE. Now is the time to revisit ZWT!


The ZWT Historical Perspective on HUMAN WORK or LABOR
The historical PERSPECTIVE of the Zero Work Theory, on the HUMAN WORK Or LABOR basically contradicts from those who glorify the human work or labor as the provider of self-identity, dignity, respect  meaning, purpose  and everything good for human beings in their life. Ironically, both the Capitalist as well the Communists somehow share this same vision that includes most of today’s leading experts and social pundits. They don’t accept the prospect of human labor getting redundant by the new technology is instead fallaciously argue that the same new technology will create abundance of new jobs for the humans to work side by side with the robots, at least for the foreseeable future.

However, the Zero Work Theory  basically proclaims that human-labor, originally imposed by nature on them in order to obtain their means of subsidence (lively hood, wages), which is the ROOT CAUSE OF HUMAN EXPLOITATION and most of the evils that humankind have been undergoing so far in the history. In the past, the progress in science and technology that increased labor productivity has helped the working class to get  gradual reduction in working hours in the day or week and shall continue to do so. The end-game of this reduction in work should be the ZERO WORK DAY. The progress in the field of science and technology ultimately will make THE HUMAN WORK, OBSOLETE OR REDUNDANT and should be completely abolished sooner than later. It is the best thing for the human society to happen. In the future humankind will become FREE from the compulsion and the drudgery of their work-labor-slavery. Thereby, establishing a new equitable income distribution egalitarian socio-economic system in which all human needs, wants, comforts, and luxuries should be made available, equally free or affordable for everyone.

On the other hand, futurist pundits envisage that the “TECHNOLOGICAL-UNEMPLOYMENT” that has been forecasted; is A NEGATIVE OUTCOME OF TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS. Owning to their Capitalist and Communist ideologies which virtues  human labor as the necessary part humans happiness, dignity, identify giving purpose and meaning to human life. Most important of all to run the economy and create wealth, affluence and abundance in society. They cannot imagine that the same human labor compulsion can be the root-cause of exploitation resulting in all evils in the society, therefore, needs to be completely abolished and most importantly the progress in the science and technology allows humans to actives all of it. On the contrary they argue, to counter the technological unemployment society needs to create more labor or employment opportunities,  with some innovative entrepreneurship, inventing completely new types of jobs, higher education and retraining workers for the new employment, also by providing a substitute income, commonly known as Universal Basic Income (UBI).


ZWT, very much supports UBI as an early manifestation of the  ZWT. However, its  vision of  UBI is somewhat differs from mainstream UBI so it likes to call it as Progressive or Equitable Basic Income .  It views future “Technological Unemployment”,  AS THE POSITIVE OUTCOME of the technological progress, and welcomes it. On the other hand the future pundits even while they fully support the UBI still view the Technological Unemployment  as the NEGATIVE OUTCOME;  therefore, UBI is needed as a remedy, mainly to lift people above the poverty or to prevent more falling below the poverty line, due to widening of the income gap.


Universal Basic Income(UBI)
The general public today, is not yet prepared to accept UBI replacing employment. Many express deep anxiety of losing employment, irrespective of UBI. They still believe that losing a job means the loss of self-identity, dignity and life purpose. They have been misled to believe that all of humanity exists simply to work or provide service to others. In this worldview, having no work jobs to do make people lazy they lose meaning in life, they should have no purpose in life other than looking for a new servitude or jobs.

A primary task for ZWT is to make the public understand UBI, to make them aware that accepting UBI is the beginning of the emancipation of humankind from the drudgery of labour, wage-slavery. In the coming decades, the human race will enter a new era of abundance. The main occupation of humankind in the future, should be the fulfilment of human needs, wants, comforts and luxuries. Without the burden of work, all kinds of entertainment and pleasure can be had by all. We need to prepare the public to be conscious of this future.


The Predication Of Human Future In The Past.
In the past human history wise men, innovative future thinkers, scientists, and philosophers predicted the way that humans would live in the future; whether it is ON EARTH OR IN HEAVEN. In only since the last century, as our society has been progressed in science and technology, the predictions of the future have reflected this focus. Since the second half of the 19th century predictions of a “Brave New World” have become dominant. As Socialism, Communism and Fascism rose and fell, the electoral democracy became more reliable or acceptable. Our view of the future reflected these real influences.

Since second half of the 20th century, new social theories were fuelled by technological progress and social influences like feminism and the New World Order. In the 1980’s, a new vision of our future reflected the unfolding of the cybernetic revolution:  nanotechnology, 3D printing, and quantum computers.

As we entering the last part of second decade of the 21st century, we see a new breed of future pundits who predict massive Technological Unemployment in the future but at the same time they argue the new technology will create new jobs  to replace all the old one. Prominent scientists, academics, IT professionals, Silicon Valley billionaires, mainstream magazines and publications trying to move towards  this consensus view of the future. Human workers and the AI robots harmoniously co-exist in the future industries. Yet, while many thinkers see the same problems, none offer a clear vision or plan on what kind of work,  job or occupation most of the human population or the “common man” will be engaged in their day to day life in  coming decades.


Futurists Not Yet Prepared  For The Common Man’s Future.
Futurists predict that new technology will create new jobs, replacing those lost to “Technological-Unemployment”.  They argue, “65% of children entering primary school today will ultimately end up working in completely new job types that don't yet exist”. What these jobs are, though, is unclear. Rather than an analysis of the economy or arising trends in the workforce, it seems these new employment opportunities predictions are based on little more than hope.

The experts argue that robots will merely replace simple, unskilled labor, or the repetitive predictive work however, the technology cannot replace creative jobs (knowledge work). Surprisingly, however, the jobs of physicians, surgeon, nursing, lawyer, journalist, even the teachers, musicians, which we assumed to be creative, are already being performed in limited ways by robots and artificial intelligence. In the coming decades, robots will expand the extent of their work in these areas. All too quickly, they are likely to take over most of these jobs.

The fundamental question now before us is; Are there new jobs or occupations that can be performed by the majority of people (relatively unskilled, uneducated), that will exist in sufficient numbers, and cannot be taken over by robots in  the coming years? In other words, will there emerge some new needs, wants and demands from humans that CANNOT be SERVICED and fulfilled by the robots?

Experts have not been able to clearly identify such occupations so far. In the past, progress in science and technology always led to new jobs therefore the logical view is; if it happened in the past, it will be repeated again.” Experts and politicians are not daring to think outside of the box, with which their  ideals of Politically Correctness does not agree.


IN 1981, WHEN I PROPOSED REDUCTION IN WORKING HOURS, ZERO WORK THEORY FOR THE COMMON PEOPLE OF THE FUTURE; ALMOST ALL OF THOSE EXPERT PUNDITS AT THAT TIME WOULD HAD DISMISSED IT WITHOUT A SECOND GLANCE.NOW I THINK THE SAME WILL HAPPEN TODAY TO THIS  ZWT-II, WHICH PROPOSES; ALL KINDS OF ENTERTAINMENT AND PLEASURES WILL BECOME THE MAIN OCCUPATION OF THE COMMON MAN IN THE COMING ZERO WORK SOCIETY, PRECEDED BY THE UBI LED SOCIO-ECONOMIC POLITICAL REVOLUTION.


Future Human Occupations
How can the common people all permanently receiving the UBI will manage to spend their lives without a job or employment in the Zero Work Society? The optimistic answer could be they will spend most of their entire life in full of entertainment and festivities all day long, all their life, if they like it in that way. However, futurists cringe at this idea thinking it makes the common people damn lazy, everybody leisurely sitting at home watching cable TV like couch potatoes or browsing the internet or engaged in pleasure activities, isn’t an image of the ideal future.

In the future pundits’ crystal balls, the future is very cloudy for the common people. Therefore, instead of envisioning the kind of day to day job or occupations of common people for the NEXT TWENTY TO THIRTY YEARS, they suddenly jump to the “Star Wars” like imagination of how the elite will live in the NEXT HUNDRED TO TWO HUNDRED YEARS. Going to Moon or Mars (Planetary travel) they think as the most pleasurable (profitable) activity that their humans will be occupied in the future. They foresee the abundance of energy, combined with super-materials, leading to the creation of Mega cities. The educated elite that today live in million dollar condominiums will live in even taller buildings, with automated homes and robots serving their every need. The wealthy will have flying cars, travelling into the outer space, colonize other planets, engaged in mind-expanding Transhumanism and enter the Singularity.

Yet, they will still have time to ponder over how the ordinary people will spend their day to day life time. Most, probably will work in some kind of jobs which pays them a good salary instead of merely wasting their time watching too much TV and paying the bills with their UBI. The reminder comes following  our Sci-Fi movies  projecting a dystopian future for the common people that they should be afraid of eternally. THE POLITICALLY CORRECT ‘FUTURE PUNDITS DON’T SEE THINGS WHEN THEIR SALARIES DEPEND ON NOT SEEING IT.

This scenario, clearly illogical and prejudiced, is why the ZW Theory makes it a primary task to raise awareness of the coming joblessness and help society accept the UBI, this is the beginning of emancipation of human race from the drudgery of labour, wage-slavery. We should prepare the public for this future. Human society must undergo radical economic, political, and cultural change before it can settle in with an equitable UBI.


UBI Will Lead To  Profound Socio-Economic Change:  Political REVOLUTION
As the world nations start to face growing Technological Unemployment, they will be compelled to implement some or the other kind of UBI/PBI programs. It will make a large number of people to abandon their meaningless jobs resulting in great increase in wages and automation.  The majority will eventually depend on UBI as the main source of their income. This provides great opportunity of FREE TIME for the majority population across the globe. One of the primary reasons for political non-participation MAINLY due to lack of time, will go away, more and more people will join in the democratic political process by voting on every major issues.

The big question is; how the Government can afford such a huge amount of UBI to pay? The ZWT-II  answer is; LET EVERYONE, RICH OR POOR, UNCONDITIONALLY PAY AN EQUAL OR UNIFORM AMOUNT (SAY 30% ) OF INCOME TAX AND IN RETURN SHOULD RECEIVE AN EQUAL AMOUNT OF UNCONDITIONAL UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME. This would make the UBI equitable and meaningful for all purpose.

Money plays crucial role in our present day politics, corrupting the electoral process, manipulating voting outcome or the results. Elections are mainly funded by the capitalist money, the root of corruption in the politics. It should be banned; instead every eligible voters should be allocated certain amount of money which they can transfer to whichever candidate, who they think represents their interest. So to ensure a FREE AND FAIR election.

The FREE TIME in the zero work society will allow the large population to unite and OCCUPY themselves in the political arena of all decision making. Political involvement and activism of the masses is already happening where there is easy access to an internet connection. ACCESS TO TECHNOLOGY PLUS FREE TIME in the era of UBI, will bring propound socio-economic change and political REVOLUTION. Most importantly, as robots rise and more citizens have free time, the internet will become the method for bringing together activists, who will undoubtedly focus on more equitable income distribution, not just for elites but for all people.

Strengthening of democratic principles, protecting the fundamental human rights of the INDIVIDUAL especially the FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION AGAINST imposition of majority power/opinion will become crucial. This is a vast subject matter, here I will leave it to the experts in political science to expand on this theme, even though they have failed so far to put forward a clear political vision for human society in the coming decades.   

Most import of all, the ZWT sees the UBI  as the  FORERUNNER  or HARBINGER of the upcoming profound SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC REVOLUTION. The present economic pattern of top 10% population owning more than 90% of the wealth will be abolished, in its place a more equitable egalitarian economic system, primarily aimed at the redistribution of wealth and equitable income. will be established

According to the ZWT, the Marxian Socialist Revolution failed mainly because (similar to the capitalist society) its inherent inability to eliminate the human labor exploitation especially the day to day hardship and suffering on the labouring population at the lower social stratus. Now, the great progress in the technology (AI robots) rendering the human labour exploitation absolute, will give the humanity the great opportunity to replace the brutal wages, profit disparity income making system with an adequate UBI distribution system.

The present day risk taking business entrepreneurship for profit making inefficient system will be replaced by the highly efficient day to day decision making  QUANTUM computers system. People with the capacity, ability and talent will be selected to run the industries, businesses and the economic system IRRESPECTIVE of how much money, wealth they possessed or inherited in the past.


Huge Increase In Human Life Expectancy
As science and technology progress in the coming decades, there will be tremendous advancement in medical health science, genomics etc. New drug therapies, Nano-medicines, and genetics research will be able to cure almost all diseases including Cancer, Diabetics, heart disease etc. The human lives could surpass 150 years with the upcoming ANTI-AGING DRUGS. Growing older may become a choice, rather than inevitability.

Humanity will enter a new era of abundance. The future purpose of human life should be the fulfilment of every human need, want, comfort, leisure and HEALTH. All kinds of entertainment or pleasure should be available and affordable for the common people under the equitable economic redistribution scheme of PBI or Basic Income. If we put the progress in science and technology into a single word, it would be “disruption” in every sphere. The old morals, taboos, and limits will be completely revamped and overturned.

Besides the above mentioned socio-economic, political and the health empowerment of the common people, the ZWT  in its horizon sees  the majority of the population in the future with the UBI entitlement will mostly abandon their jobs or employment to  join into the Zero Work Society. They will be engaged in all kinds of pleasures and entertainment as the MAIN OCCUPATION of their day to day  life.  Specially in things like  Food,  Sex,  Recreational drugs. Choosing to live in the past, human body mind capacity enhancement. And, of course, all of the thousands of hobbies which will become popular in the Zero Work Society.


Zero Work Society:  Common People MAIN OCCUPATION Food, Sex And Drugs
(WARNING: some readers may find my following ZWT future vision offensive; readers discretion is advised.)
Throughout the history, food, sex, recreational drugs were the primary source providing the most basic pleasures to the humankind, which remains very true even today. In the past century the industrial and the electronic revolution has invented plentiful of visual, auditory and illusionary web of entertainments; even though, very powerful they cannot replace the basic pleasures of the food, sex, and the recreational drugs. 

Common people believe the rich can enjoy all the pleasures of food, sex etc. Ironically however, nature  has prevented people (specially the wealthy) to enjoy these pleasures fully or adequately, sometimes, even to its minimal because of its threat of causing serious health issues, diseases and death. Nevertheless, majority people go in pursuit of money and wealth, the main currency to buy those primary pleasures. Unfortunately, despite making/having lots of money, their health deprives them from enjoying these most basic biological desires and pleasures that humans can have. Nonetheless, they continue to accumulate wealth, hoping their children will enjoy those pleasures with their inherited wealth. But the sordid tale repeats again. Now with the advent of new medicines the problem of over-weight, diabetics, heart diseases, and other problem like sexual dysfunction will disappear in the future. Thereby a new era in human society will emerge in which all people will be able to enjoy all those primary or basic human pleasures thoroughly without fear or apprehensions.


Food
Indulging in all sorts of foods and drinks to its fullest will become one of the main occupation of the future public that was deprived to the common people in the past. People will try whatever food they like. Seeking every culinary delight and whatever amount they like to eat without any fear of overweight. They may become more creative, if not expert chefs. Instead of readymade food, they will start preparing their own food, experimenting  different kinds in dining varieties that never heard today. In the next stage, people may become innovative and start to grow their own food in their garden or they may create new taste sensation by printing food through 3D technology. Hundreds of new food and drink items having novel taste, smell and flavours not yet known can be explored.


Sex
Sexual revolution or liberation will be the “next big thing”. If people want to experience any form of sex they are interested in, they will have the opportunity. Most importantly, they will be able to enhance their body/mind capacity to its fullest for enjoying the carnivorous pleasure of sex to the maximum extent. A sexologist may write volumes of it.

Premature ejaculation, premature ejaculation, frigidity will become a thing of the past, people able to stay engaged in sex continually for hours together, if they like without any sort of negative health impact. We may go beyond merely remaining young and have the ability to change body shape, gender or colour as we like. Sexual discrimination based on age, race, colour gender, will vanish. More people willing to have sex than refraining from it.

Sexual taboos, stigmas that we have today will be removed. Of course, for those who want it, AI humanoid sex-bots will be built to satisfy human sexual desires, especially for that portion of humanity that has physical or mental barriers to more conventional forms of sex. However, as sex-bots become more common, many people today may wonder how their owners will fit into society.


Recreational Drugs
The main recreational drug today is alcohol, tobacco, cannabis, heroin  will be redesigned or replaced with the advanced safe and healthy recreational drugs having no negative health effect but  can produce unimaginable mind bending ecstasy, perpetual euphoria, spiritual bliss without causing the addiction, harms or  diseases like the old drugs. Many people will choose these psychedelic drugs than to have the technological Virtual/Augmented Reality mechanical sets over their head.  Here, I leave most of it to the experienced experts in those drugs to tell more of it. 

In the 20th century many human behaviours accepted as normal which were considered to be extremely dangerous, evil and immoral in the old 19th century. Similarly, the behaviours which we consider very dangerous evil and immoral today, will be accepted as quite normal in the coming decades of the 21st century. For example, walking naked in the street is a criminal behaviour today but will become normal behaviour tomorrow.


People Choosing To Live In The Past As Human SURVIVORS.
Futurists predict mega cities with sophisticated buildings, environments in which everything is self-contained, where people never need to leave home to do work as they communicate wirelessly with their employer, bosses, friends and families around the world . The home will become a cocoon that provides for all of our needs including entertainment. ZW Theory predicts that many, if not most, will completely abandon the modern, mega, sophisticated urban city life and return to their ancestral roots of living as primitive times. In the forests grounds or on the tree top canopy, surrounded by wild life, rivers and mountains in tune with the nature.

The present image of the world will change. Smart cosmopolitan cities, futurist mega buildings on the one side many abandoned villages, towns and old cities on the other side. They will be turned into jungles, savannahs or the vast deserts with wild life of ancient times. Dinosaurs will come back to life and roam on earth again for the people to see and enjoy. Of course, all people will be inter-connected and can travel back and forth past to future if they like or when necessary.


Human Mind Body Capacity Enhancement: TRANSHUMANS
The tremendous advancement in the medical science, gene therapy will provide the people with the great immunity from all diseases also the opportunity to alter their physical body and mind. Children will be liberated from the drudgery of long years of school studies imposed by the modern education system. All memories, knowledge , education skills can be downloaded straight into the human brain/mind, making them super good.  Every human can be as smart  talented and intelligent as the other by this brain computer interphase.  People can become great singers (changing vocal cords) dancers, any kind of super- human athletics or performance artist scientist as they like. Transhumanism as it is popularly known. Singularity can transcend the humanity.


Private Property Will Disappear Along With The Human Labor
Human society in the history so far has been bedevilled by the scarcity of goods, services and security. The security against scarcity is having one’s own territory. It begins with the evolution of species, rooted in the animal kingdom.  Humankind not only seeks their own territory but also possession of private property for the same old reasons. Most importantly the human character of SELFISHNESS, greed, EGO arises also for those same reasons

In the olden days private property means land and labor resources, in the modern age MONEY has mostly replaced it. Human labour is a unique thing, intricately connected to scarcity of goods and generating money. People are mostly PREOCCUPIED with making money. Making more and more money has become the goal of human life. If you don’t have money you have to labor to earn it. Make more and more money get rich and wealthy so one can escape from the hardship of labor on the ground.

The progress in the Science and technology enables society to produce the Goods and services in more efficient ways. The advancement in the AI robotic  will makes it,  the new world working class replacing human workers as it gets far more better than the human workers in every respect. It can produce the goods and services in such an abundances without the need of human labor. As the human labor compulsion, bondage, servitude disappear, the private property, money, scarcity will follow suit.


Conclusion
In the past years, I have read thousands of articles, YouTube etc. videos, published by the IT professional future  experts, social ethics academic Pundits panels  stories about the rapid progress in the science and technology, specially in the field AI robots its great future business opportunities also its impending doom of human job disruptions. However, the future workforce, HR specialists and other experts keep on promising the public that new technologies will create new jobs. Therefore people needs to be prepare for this new kind of job transition. Retrain or get more education for qualifying themselves for the new jobs. The students should go to more and higher cognitive human centric education so there will be enough better paying jobs for the future generation to enjoy their life.

However from the ZWT point of view; “these future experts ARE MISLEADING THE PUBLIC”. My main point is, there is no more need of human labor or jobs as we see today for the industries, business, economy and society to run. In the coming decades, human labor will become redundant as the result of this rapid science and technological growth.

Therefore, the main task of the ZWT-II is to make the public aware that the MAIN OCCUPATION for the common man in the coming decades most importantly to be engaging in the Social, Economic and Political including the Intellectual EMPOWERMENT  OF THE COMMON PEOPLE. ZWT foresees the necessity of the Guaranteed Income distribution programme like UBI  as the forerunners of this propound social change or REVOLUTION. People in their everyday life will be free to engage in full-time engagement of whatever kind of legally accepted entertainment they like. All kind of pleasures  especially; food, sex, drugs, sports, intellectual pursuits etc., will become dominant occupation of the common people, opposed to the compulsion of labor, job or employment. Unfortunately, the  Future Pundits who like to remain “Politically Correct” DO NOT SEE IT BECAUSE THEIR SALARIES DEPEND ON NOT SEEING IT. 

Of course, there will be plentiful of leasure, entertainment for people to spend their time. Audio visual, social media, TV, movies, AR, VR etc., which I did not feel necessary to mention because it is already very well known to the people. The Future experts need to show the public objectively how the future will unwind ahead of us when there will be no jobs for the people to engage in.  Most importantly, they  needs to take the risk of envisioning the everyday occupation of the average man and woman in the near future of 10, 20 or 30 years that most of us will going to see and experience in our life time rather than jumping to the next 100 or 200 years.

Finally, I don’t deny that the exponential growth in the science and technology can pose some serious existential threat to the human society. However, we don’t have any real option but to be optimistic that the humanity will find some way or solutions to overcome it in the future.

Copyright 2017 . Valerian Texeira. Latest update  May 2018.
Email: texeiraval@gmail.com
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THE INEVITABLE: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces that will Shape our Future- Kevin Kelly2016

THE SINGULARITY IS NEAR : WHEN Humans Transcend Biology-  Ray Kurzweil 2005

OUR FINAL INVENTION; Artificial Intelligence and the End of the Human Era - James Barrat 2013

ABOUNDANCE: The Future Is Better Than You Think- Peter H. Diamandis  Steven Kotler 2014
Abolish work: A lazy exposition of philosophical ergophobia- Edited by Nick